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Missouri Crop Report: Despite much-needed rain, Sept. 1 corn and soybean bushel projections remain low

Rains from the remnants of Hurricane Isaac brought precipitation across much of the state Aug. 31 to Sept. 1. Those rains, and subsequent rains have helped ease drought conditions statewide. Though offering some benefit to later maturing soybeans, the corn crop, 84 percent mature and 44 percent harvested as of Sept. 2, was too far along for yields to be helped. The Sept. 1 estimated yields for both crops remain low.
Missouri corn yield forecast remains at 75 bushels per acre, the lowest since 51 bushels per acre in 1983. Corn planted and harvested for grain acres are estimated at 3.6 and 3.35 million acres respectively, unchanged from the Aug. 1 estimate. The resulting production forecast is 251 million bushels. If realized, this production would be the lowest since 1999 when 247 million bushels were harvested from 2.65 million planted acres.
Soybean yield in Missouri is estimated at 28 bushels per acre, a decrease of two bushels from last month and the lowest since 27.5 bushels per acre in 1999. Planted and harvested acres are unchanged from the Aug. 1 forecast at 5.3 and 5.15 million acres, respectively. Production is forecast at 144 million bushels, the smallest since 133 million bushels in 1995 and 7 per-ent below last month.
U.S. Highlights: Corn production is forecast at 10.7 billion bushels, down less than 1 percent from the August forecast and down 13 percent from 2011. This represents the lowest production in the United States since 2006. Based on conditions as of Sept. 1, yields are ex-pected to average 122.8 bushels per acre, down 0.6 bushel from the August forecast and 24.4 bushels below the 2011 average. If realized, this will be the lowest average yield since 1995. Area harvested for grain is forecast at 87.4 million acres, unchanged from the August forecast but up 4 percent from 2011.
Soybean production is forecast at 2.63 billion bushels, down 2 percent from August and down 14 percent from last year. Based on Sept. 1 conditions, yields are expected to average 35.3 bushels per acre, down 0.8 bushel from last month and down 6.2 bushels from last year. Compared with last month, yield forecasts are lower or unchanged across the Great Plains and most of the Corn Belt as lingering drought conditions continued to hamper yield expectations.
Area for harvest in the United States is forecast at 74.6 million acres, unchanged from August but up 1 percent from last year.
– USDA, National Agricultural Service
1701462231821941751912312101901443429.545373837.53843.541.536.52820022003200420052006200720082009201020112012Missouri Soybean Yield and ProductionProduction (mln bu)Yield (bu/ac)
Soybean production is forecast at 2.63 billion bushels, down 2 percent from August and down 14 percent from last year. Based on September 1 conditions, yields are expected to average 35.3 bushels per acre, down 0.8 bushel from last month and down 6.2 bushels from last year. Compared with last month, yield forecasts are lower or unchanged across the Great Plains and most of the Corn Belt as lingering drought conditions continued to hamper yield expectations. Area for harvest in the United States is forecast at 74.6 million acres, unchanged from August but up 1 percent from last year.

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